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| 세계미래회의 Futurist Update |
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| write date : 2010-03-09 23:42:57 |
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FUTURIST UPDATE
News & Previews from the World Future Society
March 2010 (Vol. 11, No. 3)
Read online: www.wfs.org/futuristupdate.htm
Pass this newsletter along! FUTURIST UPDATE may be freely shared if
forwarded in its entirety.
Receiving a pass-along copy or haven't joined WFS yet? Check out our
special membership offer. http://www.wfs.org/foresight
In This Issue:
* Ghana's Promising Future
* Loneliness in an Interconnected World
* Preventive Care Could Save Trillions of Dollars
* Specialists versus Generalists: Lessons from Figure Skating
* Click of the Month: Weiner, Edrich, Brown, Inc.
* News for the Futurist Community
===========================
GHANA'S PROMISING FUTURE
===========================
While far from the epicenter of the most recent global financial
crisis, much of Africa was severely impacted by it. Faring better than
its neighbors is Ghana, which has nearly halved its poverty rate since
1992, sustained a 5% average annual growth rate, and held peaceful
elections in 2004 and 2008, according to the International Monetary
Fund (IMF).
"You do sense a country that is moving forward," says Peter Allum, IMF
mission chief for Ghana. "There's an enormous amount of energy and
excitement there on the streets. You also see the poverty, and it makes
you realize what a challenge lies ahead for the country in terms of job
creation for these young people."
Foreign investment from recession-afflicted countries has dried up, and
Ghanaians working abroad have had less money to send back home, notes
IMF First Deputy Managing Director John Lipsky. So building up economic
resilience domestically has become more imperative.
Gold and cocoa exports have kept Ghana going, but moving forward may
require it to develop another source of new wealth: oil. Ghana is
unlikely to become another Saudi Arabia, says Lipsky, "but it could be
producing enough oil to satisfy its domestic needs with some left over
for export. The key to Ghana's future growth, of course, is to use this
newfound wealth wisely."
SOURCE: International Monetary Fund
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2010/pr1046.htm
==========================================
LONELINESS IN AN INTERCONNECTED WORLD
==========================================
The average American today has only a third as many friends as 25 years
ago, and one-fourth have no close confidants at all, according to
recently released data from medical researchers. The Internet may be
largely to blame, says Michael Bugeja, author of INTERPERSONAL DIVIDE
(Oxford University Press, 2005).
Many people have a swarm of friends on Facebook, but do they ever call?
"Friending" is not the same as "befriending"--being a friend--Bugeja
notes, arguing that instead of creating a global village, the Internet
has distracted and distanced us from each other.
One impact is that lonely people have no one to turn to in hard times,
whereas during the Depression people relied on each other. Now, when
people can no longer afford the communications devices they've come to
rely on instead of people, they become truly isolated. As a result,
suicide rates may increase, even among young children, Bugeja warns.
LISTEN to the Radio Health Journal podcast:
http://www.news.iastate.edu/audio/10/bugeja.mp3
ORDER INTERPERSONAL DIVIDE by Michael Bugeja
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0195173392/thefuturistbooks
********************advertisement************************
EDUCATION SUMMIT AND LEARNING OPPORTUNITIES AT WORLDFUTURE 2010!
Robots in the classroom, "power teaching," and innovative problem-
solving strategies will all be explored at the annual Education Summit
immediately preceding the opening of WorldFuture 2010 in Boston, July
8-10, at the Westin Boston Waterfront Hotel.
The Summit will address the challenges and opportunities of demographic
and technological transformation to improve learning in the future.
DETAILS, http://www.wfs.org/2010educsummit.htm
Futurists looking to enhance their own skills will also have a variety
of learning opportunities before the conference gets under way. Courses
range from introductory to advanced, such as how to build and use
scenarios and using patterns of inventions to predict the future.
DETAILS, http://www.wfs.org/2010courses.htm
The conference program itself boasts an outstanding lineup of speakers,
such as journalist Michael Rogers, former "futurist-in-residence" for
the New York Times Company. Rogers will explore what it will mean for
us to live more of our lives "virtualized"--a social transformation
that he argues is as potentially impactful as the rise of cities.
LEARN MORE: http://www.wfs.org/2010main.htm
RESERVE YOUR HOTEL ROOM AT SPECIAL CONFERENCE RATE:
http://www.wfs.org/2010hotel.htm
SAVE $150! REGISTER FOR WorldFuture 2010 by February 26:
http://www.wfs.org/2010regform.htm
ALREADY ATTENDING? RSVP on Facebook: http://tinyurl.com/y8me8hf
====================================================
PREVENTIVE CARE COULD SAVE TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS
====================================================
Health-care practitioners need to broaden their focus to include
greater preventive care, urges Kevin Fickenscher, Dell Perot Systems
vice president of strategic initiatives.
During a recent presentation to the Washington, D.C. chapter of the
World Future Society, Fickenscher declared that preventive care is one
way to repair the overstressed U.S. health-care system.
The key challenge to fixing health care is reducing the financial
stresses on the system, he says. By shifting the emphasis to include
prevention as well as treatment, Fickenscher estimates that the health-
care industry could save trillions of dollars and improve the quality
of life for many.
Preventive health care entails focusing on larger cultural issues such
as lack of exercise, diet and nutrition, and smoking. However, the
current financial incentives for medical practitioners encourage them
to conduct medical tests to diagnose a disease--but not to instruct
their patients to eat healthier and exercise more before health
problems develop.
Fickenscher will speak more on these critical issues at the World
Future Society's annual meeting in Boston in July. LEARN MORE:
http://www.wfs.org/2010main.htm
MORE FUTURIST GROUPS http://www.wfs.org/chapnew.htm
=================================================================
SPECIALISTS VERSUS GENERALISTS: LESSONS FROM FIGURE SKATING
=================================================================
Questions about figure skating's future recently arose from 2010
Olympic silver medalist Yevgeny Plushenko (Russia). In interviews
following the competition, he observed that the gold medalist, Evan
Lysacek (USA), had failed to perform a quadruple jump. Without
proficiency in that maneuver, claimed Plushenko (himself an Olympic
champion in 2006), figure skating cannot progress as a sport.
While many in the (non-Russian) media dismissed Plushenko's comments as
sour grapes, he raised an interesting issue: Should the sport (or any
profession) value the specialist above the generalist?
After the Salt Lake City Games eight years ago, figure skating changed
its scoring system to eliminate (or at least reduce) national bias and
corruption among the judges. Now, all elements of a competitor's
program are to be scored, minimizing the influence of spectacular jumps
(which some argue are too damaging to young athletes' bodies anyway).
In this environment, for Plushenko to claim that only the quadruple
jump matters in skating would be like saying only home runs matter in
baseball. On a baseball team, there may be many specialists: Without
excellent pitching and precision fielding to counter the sluggers at
the plate, baseball games would always have double-digit scores and
last three days.
The difference is that, in skating (and in many professional
activities), there is no team of specialists working toward a goal of
general excellence. Rather, the individual must strive to perform at
the highest possible level in a variety of specialties. Whether this
ethos is sustainable for the future depends on how highly we value
specialized excellence--or how effectively we build our teams.
More analysis from NBC
http://www.nbcolympics.com/news-features/news/newsid=429679.html
**********************advertisement************************
OXFORD SCENARIOS PROGRAMME
http://www.sbs.ox.ac.uk/execed/strategy/scenarios
17-21 May or 6-10 September 2010, lb4,750 (ex VAT) all-inclusive
Sa"id Business School, University of Oxford.
This programme helps you identify the crucial drivers of change shaping
the wider context. With the future in mind, you will learn how to
develop strategies, policies or programmes to prepare your organisation
for tomorrow's turbulent and uncertain business climate.
For details contact mailto:caroline.williams@sbs.ox.ac.uk
To join this programme https://app.hobsons.co.uk/?id=ox-sbsee
=======================================================
CLICK OF THE MONTH: WEINER, EDRICH, BROWN, INC.
http://WeinerEdrichBrown.com
=======================================================
A fresh new look and unique resources are featured on the Web site of
this pioneering business-future consultancy, led by chairman Arnold
Brown, president Edie Weiner, and vice president Erica Orange, all of
whom have been frequent contributors to WFS publications and
conferences.
In the "From Our Files" section, WEB offers five years' worth of
downloadable archived working papers drawn from research analyses for
their clients.
Don't miss their Futurist Glossary, showcasing ideas so unique that
they require a new vocabulary for futurists and trend watchers: e.g.,
"accumulous cloud" (information accumulating in data-rich cloud
computers) "betweenity" (time between life stages), and "dividual" (a
person fitting in more than one demographic or lifestyle category).
=================================
NEWS FOR THE FUTURIST COMMUNITY
=================================
* STRATEGIC FORESIGHT SEMINAR: The University of Houston's Strategic
Foresight Seminar is an intensive, five-day, project based workshop,
running May 17-21. Sponsored by the Futures Studies in Commerce program
and conducted by Peter Bishop, the seminar offers a certificate in
strategic foresight. Registration is now open, with seating limited to
25 participants. DETAILS and REGISTRATION:
http://www.uh.edu/continuingeducation/hdcs
* WRITING IN AND ABOUT THE FUTURE: The Writer's Center in Bethesda,
Maryland, will be hosting Creative Nonfiction's all-day conference on
Writing the Future on March 20. Panelists include New York Times
interface specialist Nick Bilton, social publishing visionary Richard
Nash, and Lee Gutkind, author of ALMOST HUMAN. DETAILS
https://www.writer.org/workshops/details.asp?id=2065
Editor's note: Writers interested more in writing about the future may
also want to check out the Futurist Writer's Workshop at the WFS
conference in Boston: http://www.wfs.org/2010-C3.htm
* CALL FOR PAPERS: THE JOURNAL OF FUTURES STUDIES will be publishing a
special issue February 2011 on "Path Breaking and Path Creation."
Editor Victor Tiberius is seeking papers of 5,000 to 7,000 words
offering insights on path dependence theory and futures research.
DETAILS and SUBMISSION GUIDELINES: http://tinyurl.com/JFS-callforpapers
* HIGH SCHOOL ESSAY CONTEST: The World Future Society is now accepting
entries for its second annual essay contest for high school students.
Essays should explore the impacts of trends on future career choices
and what we can do to prepare for the jobs of tomorrow. The winner will
receive $300, a three-year membership in the Society, and complimentary
registration at WorldFuture 2010 in Boston. DETAILS
http://www.wfs.org/2010essay.htm
***************************************************
FUTURIST UPDATE: News & Previews from the World Future Society is an e-
mail newsletter published monthly as a supplement to THE FUTURIST
magazine. Copyright (c) 2010, World Future Society, 7910 Woodmont Avenue,
Suite 450, Bethesda, MD 20814, USA. Telephone 1-301-656-8274; e-mail
mailto:info@wfs.org Web site http://www.wfs.org
Editor: Cindy Wagner, mailto:cwagner@wfs.org
Senior Editor: Patrick Tucker, mailto:ptucker@wfs.org
Staff Writer: Aaron M. Cohen, mailto:acohen@wfs.org
Network Administrator: Jeff Cornish, mailto:jcornish@wfs.org
Vice President, Membership/Conference Operations: Susan Echard,
mailto:sechard@wfs.org
To subscribe, enter your e-mail at http://www.wfs.org/futuristupdate.htm
To unsubscribe or change your e-mail address, REPLY to this e-mail
with "unsubscribe" or "change address" in the subject line.
Submit feedback: mailto:cwagner@wfs.org
The WORLD FUTURE SOCIETY is a nonprofit, nonpartisan scientific and
educational association with a global membership. Regular membership in
the Society, including a subscription to THE FUTURIST, is $59 per year,
or $20 for full-time students under age 25. Professional and
Institutional membership programs are also offered; contact Society
headquarters for details: http://www.wfs.org
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